Propriety of Intrinsic Priors in Invariant Testing Situations
نویسنده
چکیده
The Theory of Intrinsic Priors, developed by Berger and Pericchi (1996a,b), is a general method of constructing objective priors for testing and model selection when proper priors are considered for the simpler null hypotheses. When this prior distribution is improper, as is typically the case for Objective Bayesian testing, they suggest approximating the (improper) prior by a sequence of proper priors on compacts. This “limiting procedure” was formalized by Moreno, Bertolino and Racugno (1998) who showed that the limiting Bayes factor is unique. Still, the natural question of whether some component of the intrinsic prior on parameters in the full model is proper in the limit (Sansó, 1997), remained to be answered. We develop a method here to partially answer this question for testing problems involving group invariance structures. We give a sufficient condition, which is easily verified, which implies that the conditional intrinsic prior under the full model is proper. This hitherto had to be verified by direct calculation. This paper also complements Berger, Pericchi and Varshavsky (1998), who develop methods, under group invariance situations, for non-nested models. For nested models, we give a class of initial non-informative priors and identify component parameters in the full model for which the default analysis results in a proper prior for these parameters. The proper prior is also identified as being the intrinsic prior arising from the use of the Arithmetic Intrinsic Bayes Factor (AIBF) methodology for the default analysis.
منابع مشابه
Fully Bayesian spline smoothing and intrinsic autoregressive priors By PAUL
There is a well-known Bayesian interpretation for function estimation by spline smoothing using a limit of proper normal priors. The limiting prior and the conditional and intrinsic autoregressive priors popular for spatial modelling have a common form, which we call partially informative normal. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions for the propriety of the posterior for this class of ...
متن کاملPropriety of Posteriors with Improper Priors in Hierarchical Linear Mixed Models
This paper examines necessary and sufficient conditions for the propriety of the posterior distribution in hierarchical linear mixed effects models for a collection of improper prior distributions. In addition to the flat prior for the fixed effects, the collection includes various limiting forms of the invariant gamma distribution for the variance components, including cases considered previou...
متن کاملWhen Can Finite Testing Ensure Infinite Trustworthiness?
In this paper we contribute to the general philosophical question as to whether empirical testing can ever prove a physical law. Problems that lead to this question arise under several contexts, and the matter has been addressed by the likes of Bayes and Laplace. After pointing out that a Bayesian approach is the proper way to address this problem, we show that the answ...
متن کاملIntrinsic Priors for Testing Ordered Exponential Means
In Bayesian model selection or testing problems, Bayes factors under proper priors have been very successful. In practice, however, limited information and time constraints often require us to use noninformative priors which are typically improper and are deened only up to arbitrary constants. The resulting Bayes factors are then not well deened. A recently proposed model selection criterion, t...
متن کاملPropriety of Posteriors in Structured Additive Regression Models: Theory and Empirical Evidence
Structured additive regression comprises many semiparametric regression models such as generalized additive (mixed) models, geoadditive models, and hazard regression models within a unified framework. In a Bayesian formulation, nonparametric functions, spatial effects and further model components are specified in terms of multivariate Gaussian priors for high-dimensional vectors of regression c...
متن کامل